Headline Of The Day

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Kudos to the article editor for using the correct term for this long debunked hypothesis – “global warming” – instead of the current misleading spin phrase “climate change.”

Hat tip to Gateway Pundit for the screen shot.

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Latest Dispatches From The Front Lines of Global Cooling

From the New York Post:

According to NASA satellites and all ground-based temperature measurements, global warming ceased in the late 1990s. This when CO2 levels have risen almost 10 percent since 1997. The post-1997 CO2 emissions represent an astonishing 30 percent of all human-related emissions since the Industrial Revolution began. That we’ve seen no warming contradicts all CO2-based climate models upon which global-warming concerns are founded.

Meanwhile, the sea ice surrounding Antarctica is now covering the largest area since NASA started recording satellite imagery over the South Pole:

A satellite image of Antarctica showing sea ice extent. The red line is the average for September.

A satellite image of Antarctica showing sea ice extent. The red line is the average for September.

Like clockwork, “climate change” proponents blamed the expanding ice on non-existent manmade global warming.

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The Wave Is Rising

Chart of the Week:

Screen Shot 2014-09-13 at 8.57.55 AM   13 September 2014

Every single poll over the past week has shown the undecided on the question of who you prefer to run Congress have broken to the GOP.

Two items.

First, these are national polls. The Senate election will be actually be decided in red or purple states with a far higher ratio of Republicans and their leaners to Democrats and their leaners. Add two to three points to the GOP wave in those states.

Second, the remaining “undecided” voters in these states decidedly disapprove of President Barack Obama.

Elections analyst Sean Trende recently noted to Townhall.com:

“This could be shaping up as a perfect Republican storm,” Trende says of the emerging national numbers. “If you look at the 2010 generic ballot, up until July [of that year], things were knotted up between Democrats and Republicans. Then Republicans took off, and Democrats stayed at around 43 percent. That was a high interest election, so we shouldn’t be surprised that people ‘broke’ earlier than usual. This year doesn’t have the same overall intensity, so I think it’s following the more traditional pattern of people engaging after Labor Day,” he says. In late September of 2010, Republicans held a three-point lead on the generic ballot in RCP’s poll aggregator. By election day, that gap had widened to nine-plus points. The GOP ended up winning the election by about seven points. “These [2014] Senate races are just now really beginning to engage, and undecided voters are starting to get a look at the Republican candidates,” Trende explains. “That doesn’t mean they’re going to like what they see in every case, but the fact that you still have about 15 percent of the electorate undecided in a place like Iowa suggests that we will eventually see a clear break for one candidate or the other. It’s possible that [undecided voters] will break evenly, but I wouldn’t bet the farm on that.” For an explicit data point on how undecideds might ‘break,’ Trende mentions a recent Arkansas survey conducted by Democratic pollster PPP: “They polled undecided voters and found that Obama’s job approval rating among that group, in that state, is 13 percent. So we’d expect those people to break disproportionately toward [Republican challenger Tom] Cotton.”

perfectStorm_06 jpg.ashx

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One-Third Of American Workers Are Temps

temp

The Wall Street Journal reports:

Fifty-three million Americans, or 34% of the nation’s workforce, qualify as freelancers, according to a new report from the Freelancers Union, a nonprofit organization, and Elance-oDesk Inc., a company that provides platforms for freelancers to find work. These individuals include independent contractors, temps, and moonlighters, among others…

The experience of work has fractured in recent years, said Fabio Rosati, chief executive of Elance-oDesk. Layoffs that accompanied the recession forced many individuals to forge a living from short-term gigs, while online marketplaces such as Elance, TaskRabbit and Uber emerged to match independent workers with companies or individuals in need of labor.

If a business has engaged you as a contractor rather than hired you as an employee, you are basically a temporary worker no matter the term used.

Let’s put this into context.

Less than three out of five Americans are working today:

Employment to population ratio

One third of those Americans lucky enough to have a job are temps.

This means that businesses are only employing TWO out of every five Americans!

This is what an economic depression looks like.

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Nate Silver Catches The Wave

Nate Silver’s 2014 Senate election model is up and it projects the GOP has a 65% chance of getting the half dozen seats it needs for a Senate majority and a 25% chance of double digit gains:

[T]rying to defend the many red-state Senate seats [the Democrats] won in 2008 is a tall order under any circumstance. Republicans could win the Senate — with one seat to spare — by winning Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia, all of which voted for Romney in 2012. Even in a neutral political climate, Democrats might lose several of those states. If the climate shifts further toward the historical average of favoring the opposition party, their losses could be much greater, including losses in purple states such as New Hampshire and Iowa and mildly blue ones such as Michigan.

tidalwave_0

For the uninitiated, Nate Silver is a statistician who cut his teeth on creating models to predict sports and then created 538.com to predict elections. Silver is a progressive whose models tend to be spot on during presidential elections when the Democrats show up in force, but tend to have a Democrat bias in midterm elections when GOP voters predominate. His 2010 midterm model substantially understated the GOP gains in that wave election. We’ll see whether the changes to his 2014 midterm model correct this bias or whether he is still understating the actual GOP gains.

If you are a polling junkie like I am, I highly recommend that you follow the link above for Silver’s lengthy article describing how his model works.

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Another Tsunami Election

Tsunamis are tidal waves that travel unseen underwater until they rise up suddenly on the shoreline. Tsunami wave elections do not show themselves until the fall before the wipeout of the governing party. 2010 was a tsunami election. 2014 appears to be another.

The bipartisan Battleground poll run by Democrat pollster Celinda Lake and Republican pollster Ed Goeas just published their first poll of likely voters heading into the final stretch of the 2014 campaign. Here are the main findings:

70% of likely voters think the country is going in the wrong direction and, of these gloomy voters, 96% disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance.

In the generic poll asking which party the voter prefers for Congress, likely voters preferred the GOP 46% to 42%.

Likely voters in states with a competitive Senate election preferred the GOP by an insane 52% to 36%!

The Democrats have lost the center of the electorate. Independents and the middle class preferred the GOP by 15% and 11%, respectively.

Even among these voters who tell Battleground they are likely to vote, GOP voters are sharply more likely than Democrat voters (69% to 57%) to say they are extremely likely to vote. The GOP intensity advantage is larger now than in the Battleground poll a month before the 2010 election, and that proved to be a once in a century wave election.

Surf’s up!

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OK, Maybe Some People Should Not Be Permitted To Carry Firearms

My father taught my brother, sister and I how to use firearms when we were kids. I always thought of firearms as pretty simple tools that any halfway competent human being could master.

Then I came across this video:

Good Heavens!

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