Tag Archives: Democratic bias

Playing the CYA

Facing the accountability of actual election results on Tuesday, the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll and Nate Silver’s 538 and the Huff Post/Pollster models based on the media polling are qualifying all their latest predictions with the possibility (aka almost certainty) that the … Continue reading

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Desperately Seeking Republicans

In several previous posts, I noted that the Democrat and media polling (nearly interchangeable terms) historically undercounts Republican voters in the spring and summer before a general election, only to add them back in as the election nears. Rasmussen and … Continue reading

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More Reasons Why Polls Over-Count Democrats

In a previous post entitled Why Polls Over-Count Democrats, I discussed how pollsters are creating an imaginary electorate which overcounts Democrat leaning minority and undercounts GOP leaning white voters by reweighting their poll respondents by race and ethnicity based upon … Continue reading

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A Corrected Presidential Polling Average

The pollsters now claim to be surveying voters likely to cast ballots in the 2012 presidential election, but Democrats outnumber Republicans by between 5% to 11% in these polls. This partisan bias, of course, has no reflection in reality where … Continue reading

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Games Pollsters Play And A Proposed Corrective

Every presidential election cycle, the pollsters selling their product to a predominantly Democrat news media play the same games. Most polls before the party conventions survey non-voting adults or registered rather than likely voters with enormous 6% to 13% over-counts … Continue reading

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